Pyat makes a political prediction!

[pyat]

I predict John McCain will probably win the election down south, though perhaps by an inconcievably narrow margin. It strikes me that both sides draw support from very stratified classes of voters, and the numbers don't change much. (I ignore, for now, the possibility of coordinated voting fraud, though I do not think it a zany conspiracy theory. That sort of thing happens around the world, all the time.)

That said, choosing Palin as a veep will at least make the shallower sort of Republican happier about voting for McCain, because she's young(ish) and personable, and has never, ever sang "Bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb Iran" to the tune of "Barbara Ann".

Comments

[foomf.livejournal.com]

You are doubtless unaware from your distance across that border, having few random person to person conversations with our voting public, just how profoundly disgusted so many Americans are with the Current Regime, and just how little they will tolerate another four years of the same thing. I have had people tell me that they voted for Bush in 2004 and that they would never vote Republican again.

There has been an unprecedented increase in voter registration and in voter participation, starting in 2004 and increasing dramatically with the recent primaries, at least in western states.