Pyat makes a political prediction!

[pyat]

I predict John McCain will probably win the election down south, though perhaps by an inconcievably narrow margin. It strikes me that both sides draw support from very stratified classes of voters, and the numbers don't change much. (I ignore, for now, the possibility of coordinated voting fraud, though I do not think it a zany conspiracy theory. That sort of thing happens around the world, all the time.)

That said, choosing Palin as a veep will at least make the shallower sort of Republican happier about voting for McCain, because she's young(ish) and personable, and has never, ever sang "Bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb Iran" to the tune of "Barbara Ann".

Comments

[kisekileia.livejournal.com]

I have a bad feeling you could be right, and it scares the crap out of me. Like others, I'm really hoping youth turn out en masse for Obama. I'm worried that too many idealists have gotten disenchanted with Obama already--there really needs to be a grassroots awareness among young idealists that even though Obama's not perfect, McCain would be a hell of a lot worse, and therefore THEY NEED TO VOTE.

I'm worried about the choice of Palin as a running mate, because it's very strategic. There are a LOT of Hillary Clinton supporters (I've seen 50% quoted) who won't vote for Obama, and some of them may go over to McCain due to him having a woman on his ticket. Plus, Palin's got Assemblies of God connections, which may bring more evangelicals on side. Scary.

[mrs-dm.livejournal.com]

I've been watching the political punditry on CNN all evening, and from all accounts, few Hillary supporters will be voting for McCain because of Palin (anti-abortion, evangelical etc). The Democrat pundits all point out Palin's inexperience on global issues (rightly so) and the Republican pundits praise her reformer status (who knows). But NO ONE dares point out what seems to be the strangest factor in my motherly mind. She has a FOUR-MONTH OLD BABY, with Down's Syndrome no less. Now, I'm not a social conservative by any means, but from a psychological point of view, should she really be on the national campaign trail right now? It just seems unhealthy, for mother-child bonding etc.