Pyat makes a political prediction!

[pyat]

I predict John McCain will probably win the election down south, though perhaps by an inconcievably narrow margin. It strikes me that both sides draw support from very stratified classes of voters, and the numbers don't change much. (I ignore, for now, the possibility of coordinated voting fraud, though I do not think it a zany conspiracy theory. That sort of thing happens around the world, all the time.)

That said, choosing Palin as a veep will at least make the shallower sort of Republican happier about voting for McCain, because she's young(ish) and personable, and has never, ever sang "Bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb Iran" to the tune of "Barbara Ann".

Comments

[pyat.livejournal.com]

..it's going to be just like the previous four, or the four before that or...

Well, in the four years before Bush, US household incomes had risen by more than $7K. In 1999 your dollar was worth almost $1.70 Canadian. Now they're at par.

In 1999, the U.S. annual defense budget was about $260 billion - today it's $650 billion and that doesn't include the total cost of the actions in Iraq and Afghanistan.

In 1999, 94,000 Iraq civillians had not died as a direct cause of the U.S. invasion, not to mention 4,150 US soldiers and several hundred soldiers from other nations. One should also remember the 10-15,000 Iraqi soldiers who died in the initial invasion, payment for the 2,751 Americans who died on 9/11. Which, PS, happened on the Repulican watch.

Essentially, what I'm saying is that, while YOU may be currently "okay," there can be substantial differences in the way parties govern. They are not all the same, nor even always the lesser of evils.